my highest conviction position
A breakdown of my single highest conviction long, plus a 13F most people read wrong and a compounder I think doubles from here.
Quick housekeeping first. The Watch isn’t running on a fixed weekly schedule anymore. I’ll send it when something in the market actually moves me, not because the calendar says a certain day. Real-time portfolio moves keep flowing in the chat exactly like before, so if you’re paid you never miss a trade. We are active in it daily.
Behind the paywall today: a full write-up on the one name I put serious money behind, a software business priced like the story’s over while the people who’d buy it are circling. A read on a 13F most people skimmed and waved off, where I think the position worth a closer look got lost in the sauce. A biotech I already own that just turned up in some genuinely sharp funds. And a commercial real estate compounder I think doubles from here, with the target and the math behind it.
What You Get as a Subscriber
The Watch, covering active positions and the names climbing the queue, sent when conviction warrants it. In addition, signals that could make or break your year that I am able to catch because this is my full time job.
Deep dives on individual companies with the full thesis, the risks, and the valuation work
Portfolio transparency, including current holdings, sizing, and changes the moment they happen, in a chat full of elite investors
Market commentary and notes on how I’m managing the book week to week
Pricing
$29/mo
$220/yr
Existing subscribers keep their current rate. The standard rate will likely rise over time to protect the depth of the work.
What Makes Guardian Different
Multi-strategy and market cap agnostic. The work goes wherever the opportunity is, from under-followed small caps to large, liquid names, blending longer-term positions with shorter-term trades. I go where the return is.
One good idea in here pays for the year. The live portfolio, the alerts, and the chat all sit on the other side of this.